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Catastrophe: An Investigation Into The Origins Of Modern Civilization (2000)

Catastrophe: An Investigation into the Origins of Modern Civilization (2000)

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3.89 of 5 Votes: 2
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ISBN
0345408764 (ISBN13: 9780345408761)
Language
English
Publisher
ballantine books

About book Catastrophe: An Investigation Into The Origins Of Modern Civilization (2000)

I'm really conflicted about this book!So Keys's basic hypothesis is that there was some kind of catastrophic weather event circa CE 535/536 that had such dramatic geopolitical effects all over the world that it basically served as the starting point for the modern world. And Keys is super convincing. He ranges over every continent and major social group and runs down the evidence for the cataclysm of 535 and its environmental consequences and then he discusses the resulting political dominoes that fell to reorganise the planet's balance of power into what it would look like for the rest of the medieval period and into the modern day. He puts forth that an eruption by the proto-Krakatoa caldera was the cause of the weather event (rather than an asteroid or comet collision, for instance), and concludes by briefly discussing contemporary calderas like Yellowstone and the Campi Flegrei in Italy and the effects they would have on today's geopolitical environment if they were to erupt so cataclysmically in the near future and cause comparable climate change. There's certainly a wealth of evidence out there for his ideas, and his theory makes a lot of sense, and all of his beautiful flow charts are so explicit and well-organised that you can't HELP but buy into it....Unfortunately, that's precisely what makes me skeptical. Nothing works that neatly. The historical system that he slots together so nicely were far more complicated and there were so many actors in operation that I just don't think it's possible for such a sweeping statement to be conclusively true. I think Keys is so eager to prove his theory he does a lot of over-reaching in terms of the available evidence. When it comes to the written record, he plays fast and loose with what's there--for instance, he posits that the Javanese Book of Kings, which mentions an eruption of proto-Krakatoa in 416, was actually off by a good hundred years and is really referring to his eruption of 535. But many of the societies he discusses have yet to begin formally recording their histories by 535 and so he makes some big intuitive leaps by drawing out themes from oral tradition that support his claim. It's true that in British narrative tradition, King Arthur's death and the subsequence crumbling of political unity in Britain is typically dated to around 535-545. But he goes WAY too far by saying that the wasteland imagery popular in Arthurian narrative (a la the Fisher King) is evidence for the 535 event as preserved in folk memory--especially when he's pulling from later medieval texts recorded six or seven hundred years later! I'm comfortable saying that's too much of a stretch because I'm familiar with the Arthurian canon, but that's just one tiny corner of the argument he makes, which really makes me wonder what kind of tricks he's pulling in other areas.It's a good read. His narrative style is really engaging and it's eminently readable and I think his basic hypothesis is sound--I don't doubt that there was a major event in 535 (whether it was Krakatoa or no) and that it had some really devastating effects on world powers and that there were some very long-lasting geopolitical implications. But the story of how we ended up as a modern world is a whole lot messier than Keys would have you believe, and while I would like to be convinced, I remain skeptical. A little more rigour and discipline and I might buy his case, but alas... it's not happening.

I first saw a program on PBS based on this book and I was interested in some of the statements enough to write down the name of the book & author. A couple or more years went by and I finally got around to reading the book.It is a very interesting take on the calamities that have shaped and "branched" our development as a race (meaning Homo Sapiens), our planet, and as cultural groups. The author presents a lot of information about a handful of specific events. Many are familiar to most people (e.g. the explosion of Krakatoa), others are more obscure. In all cases he uses historical records and those taken from geological *ex. lake bed deposits) and biological (ex. tree rings) sources to explain the effect of such past events. From these effects he details the linked development (or evolution) of humans. You may not agree with all of his suppositions, but I can guarantee that you will not be bored by him.The book also contains a series of "warnings" (if you will) about locations/situations that can lead to further cataclysms (with equally important effects on our survival).Note:Some of the events that the author used as examples have since become more widely known (and one might argue their impact on us raised to a more important level). One such is the massive volcanic explosion occurring around 535 AD. I've seen further investigation (by others) into some of these past events, which lends support to Keys' claims.

Do You like book Catastrophe: An Investigation Into The Origins Of Modern Civilization (2000)?

Another great book setting out (and succeeding, in my opinion) to resolve a great historical puzzle: in this case, why so many cultures around the world seemed to undergo a period of "dark ages" and upheaval before the period we call the Middle Ages. The author draws on documentary, archeological, and geological evidence from Europe, Asia, the Americas, and Oceana to paint a compelling portrait and timeline of a worldwide climate catastrophe--and, in the spirit of a whodunit, to specifically identify the cause of the catastrophe.
—Brent Ranalli

A book like this makes you realize that academia has really stomped all the joy out of big global theorizing. In the 19th century this guy would have been considered a genius and a polymath... but today, the book comes across more as an enjoyable but thinly-sourced magnificent obsession.One of the most helpful tricks I learned in graduate school was that, in the long run, the LEAST INTERESTING question you can ask about a work of history (or in this case historical archeology) is whether it is "true". Was Robespierre actually Sea-Green and Incorruptible? Did Cleopatra's nose change the course of history? Was the fall of Rome caused by the love of military glory over civic virtue? Who really cares? In the end, history is writing and writing is art. The fact that all of these phrases have continued to be referenced by others, not just in other histories but in the visual arts and fiction and movies, shows that the great historians of the past have stamped their individual creative judgments on the contents of the dusty archives.So I try to ask why an author would WANT a particular thesis to be true and what it would mean for our understanding of the world if that thesis were true. And in this case, my takeaway was that no matter how many great civilizations humanity manages to hack out of the planet... nature always bats last, and sometimes with crushing force. That is something I worry about a lot as we live with the consequences of global warming, so I'm probably pretty responsive to the message here.As for the evidentiary problems... yeah, it's hard to deny them, especially in the written records. For a literally earthshattering event that had ramifications for at least two years, the literati don't seem to have taken that much heed. I didn't know anything about 80% of the civilizations mentioned in the book, so I rather enjoyed a whirlwind intro to the Kazars -- a whole Turkic tribe that basically converted to Judaism en masse! -- and the blood-soaked culture of Teotihuacán. I take it that tree-ring counting is the best line of evidence for the "extreme weather of 535" thesis, read more here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_weather_events_of_535%E2%80%93536.One big area for improvement is that the author totally fails to convey the effects of a volcanic eruption this gigantic. In fact the structure of the book tries to lay out the EFFECTS -- often many years after the actual explosion -- while leaving the CAUSE a "mystery" until the final chapters. Compare to a book like _Krakatoa_ which STARTS with the eruption's immediate global devastation. Obviously this eruption would not have been lucky enough to have a great historian on site -- unlike Pliny the Younger's classic account of the eruption of Vesuvius -- but when Krakatoa erupted the sound was heard and noted around the world, etc. I personally witnessed the eruption of Mt St Helens as a child and have some idea of what a big volcanic eruption looks like... but most people today have no context whatsoever for an eruption of the size proposed here.
—Joyce

For months with no relief, starting in 535 AD, a weird, crepuscular haze robbed much of the Earth of its sunlight. As global weather patterns altered radically, crops failed in Asia and the Middle East. Bubonic plague, spreading like a firestorm out of Africa, wiped out whole counties in Europe. Flood and drought brought ancient cultures to the brink of collapse -- and pushed a few of them over the edge. The Roman Empire, the greatest power in Europe and the Middle East, lost half its territory in the century following 535 AD. Meanwhile, as wave after wave of horse-riding "barbarians" swept down from the central steppes, forced from their ancestral homes by famine and plague, looking for new territory, invading the civilizations they found in their way and looting them to the ground, a new religion, Islam, spread through the Middle East. What caused this catastrophe, leading to the revolutions that convulsed the world for a century or more, and permanently changing its political and cultural geography in countless ways? The probable culprit was the eruption of a supervolcano in the strait between Sumatra and Java -- the very location of Krakatoa, which erupted so catastrophically in 1883, though with less devastating effects than the eruption of 535 AD because of relatively modern methods of transporting food, medicine, and other supplies to where they were most needed after the eruption of Krakatoa, coupled with the activities of charitable organizations that acted to meet the need. Today, a new volcano grows in the same place, Anak Krakatoa, or "Child of Krakatoa." The implications for the world's future are frightening.
—Yael

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